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His fastball and curveball have both had good properties, and after he fixed some consistency issues that arose his rookie year, he had a nice set of pitch shapes (aside from a changeup that he threw too much given that it failed to sink). With respect to his arsenal, Newcomb’s career has been very confusing.
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He finished the season with four each of shutdowns and meltdowns, which kind of hammers home the point. All things considered, Newcomb did a decent job of limiting the damage but was just unable to find enough consistency to be trusted with a permanent spot in the bullpen. His walk rate skyrocketed to 18.0% percent, with 27 walks in those 32 1/3 innings. The problem, of course, was the same as ever with Newcomb: walks. That led to an FIP- (86) much lower than a pretty unimpressive xFIP- (109). Newcomb posted a career-best strikeout rate of 28.7 percent and allowed just one home run during the regular season. He had a 4.73 ERA but a solid 3.60 FIP in those 32 1/3 innings at the major league level, giving him 0.3 fWAR on the season. Newcomb made 15 appearances at Gwinnett where he finished with a 1.62 ERA and a 1.68 FIP in 16 2/3 innings. He was left off of the postseason roster picture completely, even though, fundamentally, he wasn’t that bad or anything. He rode the shuttle between Atlanta and Gwinnett and spent time on the taxi squad throughout the regular season. He ended up appearing in 32 games and logged 32 1⁄ 3 innings, but was unable to carve out a consistent role. Newcomb’s 2021 season can’t be described as anything but strange. Steamer and ZiPS both saw him as a quality relief option, with WAR projections ranging from 0.3 to 1.1, and WAR/65 IP projections from 0.6 to 0.7. He had a golden opportunity to re-establish himself as a starter given the Braves’ laffy taffy-esque rotation in 2020, but didn’t even get another shot after imploding in his first four starts.Īfter a lost 2020 season, the Braves were hoping that Newcomb would be able to recapture his 2019 form and provide some quality innings out of the bullpen, whether that was in a late inning role or as a multi-inning option. Things started to go off the rails for Newcomb in 2020 as he appeared in just four games, where he allowed 17 runs in just 13 2⁄ 3 innings (-0.2 fWAR). An average-y starter (1.1 fWAR in 100 innings in 2018, 1.9 fWAR in 164 innings in 2019) had become an average-y reliever (0.4 fWAR in 68 1⁄ 3 innings in 2019). Those numbers were effective, but it was disappointing that rather than finding another gear in relief, Newcomb was pretty much the same guy in terms of FIP and xFIP. Newcomb returned to the majors and pitched well out of the bullpen later in 2019, appearing in 55 games while logging 68 1⁄ 3 innings with a 3.16 ERA and a 4.14 FIP. That was perhaps premature for someone who had thrown 264 league-average innings before his 12 awful ones, but it was what it was. Newcomb began the 2019 season in the rotation but allowed six runs and walked eight over his first 12 1⁄ 3 innings and was sent back to Gwinnett, where he was transitioned into a reliever. His highlight that season came in late July, when he came within one out of throwing a no-hitter against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He struck out 160, but his command issues persisted with 81 walks. He followed that up with 30 starts in 2018, logging a career-high 164 innings with a 3.90 ERA and a 4.14 FIP. Newcomb made his major league debut in 2017, making 19 starts while posting a 4.32 ERA and a 4.19 FIP in 100 innings. His future value (FV) at the time was commensurate with perhaps an above-average starter, but he had to actually get there. That deal wasn’t met with a warm reception when it happened, but the hope was that Newcomb would be able to overcome his command/control issues and lock down a spot in the team’s rotation long term. The Braves originally acquired Newcomb, along with Erick Aybar and Chris Ellis, from the Los Angeles Angels in exchange for Andrelton Simmons and Jose Briceno. He has seen his role transition from regular starter to full-time reliever to a guy that gets cycled in as a fresh bullpen arm, all in just five seasons.
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Sean Newcomb experienced another up-and-down season in 2021 and was left on the outside looking in when it came to the postseason.